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US Consumer Sentiment Near 2-1/2-Year Low

The following is a report from Reuters.

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a nearly 2-1/2-year low in March and inflation expectations soared amid worries that President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, which have ignited a trade war, would boost prices and undercut the economy.

The deterioration in sentiment and inflation expectations reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers on Friday was across political party affiliation, with consumers saying “frequent gyrations in economic policies make it very difficult for consumers to plan for the future.”

That mirrors similar concerns in some business surveys. The uncertainty created by Trump’s on-again and off-again tariffs as well as an escalation in trade tensions risks derailing the economic expansion. Fears of higher prices, which drove consumers’ long-term inflation expectations to levels last seen in early 1993, create a challenge for Federal Reserve officials as they consider the next steps for monetary policy.

“The jury is back and the verdict is in. Trump 2.0 policies are harming the economy and the future prosperity of America,” said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS. “The consumer is frightened and sees sharply higher prices ahead despite the assurances from Washington that trade tariffs are good for the economy.”

The University of Michigan said its Consumer Sentiment Index dropped to 57.9, the lowest level since November 2022, from a final reading of 64.7 in February. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index falling to 63.1.

The index has erased all the gains posted in the aftermath of Trump’s election victory in November.

The weakness in sentiment this month reflected a deterioration in expectations for the future across multiple facets of the economy, including personal finances, employment, inflation, business conditions and the stock market.

Republicans recorded a 10% drop in their expectations index, while Independents saw a 12% decrease. Expectations among Democrats tumbled 24%.

“Consumers from all three political affiliations are in agreement that the outlook has weakened since February,” said Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu. “Many consumers cited the high level of uncertainty around policy and other economic factors.”

Click here to read the full report by Lucia Mutikani at Reuters.

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