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AAA Holiday Forecast: At Least Three-Fourths of Americans Staying Home

AAA’s annual year-end holiday forecast finds a dramatic shift in Americans’ travel plans, due in large part to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The survey, conducted by IHS Markit for AAA, found that 84.5 million Americans are expected to travel over the holidays, a drop of at least 29 percent over last year – meaning at least 34 million fewer people will be going anywhere this year.

Continued pandemic-related health concerns and travel guidance – the CDC is recommending against it – are the biggest influences, the survey found.

This holiday period will see the largest decline on record, ending a streak of 11 consecutive years of holiday travel growth. Travel volume is expected to be the lowest this year since 2002.

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